God removes the kingdom is disfavor, but he hols them as a nation in favor
That's a conflicting oxymoron don't ya think?
No I don't think that.
God in His covenant with Israel - the Mosaic Law - promised blessings for obedience, with Israel rich and powerful and glorious, and cursings for disobedience, culminating with expulsion from the land to serve the gentiles in captivity.
However that doesn't affect God's promise before that to give the land to Abraham and his descendants, that promise also given to Isaac and Jacob. Again this was before the Law, and the Law doesn't negate God's promise to Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob.
Whether they are living in the land or not, the land is theirs, according to God's promise.
The Bible even gives guidlines for how long that would be, that they would be in captivity for continued disobedience, and so indicates their return after that time.
It's like you own a house, and it's been red-tagged. You can't go in, you can't use it, but it's still yours. And maybe you can get the issues resolved, and take possession of it again.
In this it's the same way, God removes His Kingdom from them, but this doesn't change God's promises to Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob. God is true, He does not lie. What He promises He does.
He took away the vineyard and gave it to someone else. Meanwhile, He keeps His promises that He's made, both to them and to us.
Much love!